Markets and Economy
Read our latest market commentary on of-the-moment trends so you can make informed investment decisions
Q1 Retail Earnings in Uncertain Year
While Q1 retail earnings results are expected to be good, analysts will be watching for indications about tariff management for the rest of the year.
Hate It or Love It: Sentiment's Message
The April plunge in stocks ushered in a huge washout in investor sentiment, but more so on the attitudinal side as opposed to the behavioral side.
Tariffs: Q1 Impacts and Q2 Negotiations
A look back at the impacts of tariff announcements last quarter, and what we might expect from tariff negotiations during the 90-day implementation delay in Q2.
"Soft" Data Hits Hard: Why Does Sentiment Matter?
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment is a so-called "soft" report, not reflecting "hard" data like GDP or CPI. It moved markets recently, so how much attention should investors pay?
Why Is the U.S. Dollar Declining?
Historically the United States dollar strengthens when U.S. Treasury yields rise. But the reverse happened in April after the White House announced widespread tariffs.
Dominoes: Recessions' History Guide
Recession risk remains elevated, likely only receding with a fuller "pivot" in tariff-related uncertainty. While every recession is unique, history can provide a guide.
The State of Rates and the Bond Market During Uncertainty
Collin Martin and Kathy Jones dissect the current environment for different types of bonds and bond investors.
Early Impacts of the Trade War
Theoretical forecasts and earnings announcements may provide initial insights as to the impact of current tariff proposals, although estimates may be imprecise.
Weak Dollar Is No Silver Lining as Firms Face Tariffs
The U.S. dollar hit 3-year lows after tariff "liberation day," and a weak greenback often aids U.S. companies with big overseas sales. That may not happen now as the trade war simmers.
Upside Down(side): Markets' Wild Rides
Markets have had a wild ride these past couple of weeks, alongside chaotic tariff-related news, with volatility (and its policy triggers) most elevated in the bond market.