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Market Commentary
Fed Decision Awaited with Hike Odds Seen Above 90%
The Fed rate decision is today at 2 p.m. ET, and futures trading puts hike odds above 90%. It would be the first since 2023. Yields hit 19-year highs Tuesday and oil rose again.
September 16, 2026
Fed Rate Decision Awaited with Hike Odds Above 90%
Stocks rose on sinking oil before the Fed's 2 p.m. ET decision. Futures trading puts odds of a first hike since 2023 above 90%. Chairman Warsh's comments are eagerly awaited.
September 16, 2026
Fed Awaited After Yields Top 5%, Oil Spins Higher
Tomorrow is expected to bring the first Federal Reserve rate hike since 2023. Oil spiked and tech stocks stumbled Monday amid AI slowdown fears. The 10-year yield topped 5%.
September 15, 2026
European Stocks: Reasons to Reconsider
European equities may have support from global growth, improving fundamentals, lower relative valuations, and fiscal spending—plus diversification from the AI cycle.
September 14, 2026
Week Begins with Rate Hike Odds High After CPI
Last Friday's 0.3% monthly core CPI growth for August raised chances of a Fed rate hike Wednesday. Data is thin, so oil and a possible test of 5% for the 10-year note could be key.
September 14, 2026
Traders React Pre-Fed as Oil and Rates Climb
A possible Fed hike puts tech in focus, oil climbs past $100 with hurricane risk looming, and retail traders grow more selective while bitcoin holds a pivotal level.
September 11, 2026
CPI Ahead: Hot Reading Could Lift Rate Hike Odds
Today's Consumer Price Index for August is expected to show monthly CPI up 0.4% and core CPI up 0.2%. More energized readings might increase odds of a rate hike next week.
September 11, 2026
After Three-Day Slide, Traders Await Key PPI Data
August PPI is due at 8:30 a.m ET and precedes CPI Friday. Both have Fed rate implications. Stocks fell early this week on rising oil and yields. Oracle and Adobe report later.
September 10, 2026
Take a Hike: Rate Hikes and Market Impacts
History suggests slower Fed tightening tends to support stronger market returns and firmer economic growth, while faster hikes typically deepen drawdowns.
September 9, 2026
The MOVE Index and Why It Might Matter
The MOVE Index, a.k.a. the "VIX of bonds," helps investors track volatility across U.S. Treasuries. Sometimes, it can signal future action in equities.
September 9, 2026
Buy, Hold, Sell: What Analyst Stock Ratings Mean
Research analysts assign buy, sell, hold, and other ratings to stocks in their research reports. Here's what these stock ratings mean, and how investors can use them.
September 8, 2026
What Is a Market Bubble?
Famous market bubbles share some characteristics, but it's nearly impossible to predict how big a bubble might get and when one is about to burst.
September 3, 2026
Songs of Experience: Reminiscences of a Strategist
It's been 40 years since I began my career on Wall Street and the lessons I learned along the way from some all-time investment greats always hold true.
September 3, 2026
How Interest Rate Movements Affect Options Prices
Interest rates have an important effect on options prices, especially when rates are high. The options greek rho measures the impact of rates and can help when evaluating options.
August 27, 2026
Hard-Hitting 'Soft' Data: Why Surveys Matter
'Soft' reports like sentiment and confidence don't reflect 'hard' data like GDP or CPI. Still, they can affect markets and come with various strengths and weaknesses to consider.
August 25, 2026
ADRs Walk and Talk Like S&P 500 Stocks, but Aren't
Some of the largest tech stocks aren't traded on the S&P 500, though they trade on U.S. markets and affect Wall Street sentiment. ADRs are familiar stocks with unfamiliar pedigrees.
August 19, 2026
Understanding Dividend Risk: Basics and Examples
When holding a short call option on a dividend-paying stock, traders should understand how dividend risk can affect options pricing, early assignment, and strategy outcomes.
August 17, 2026
Geopolitical Uncertainty and Your Portfolio
Geopolitical developments at home and abroad could have longer-lasting impacts on the markets. Here, three experts discuss what it all means for investors.
August 14, 2026
Bonds vs. Bond Funds: Which is Right for You?
Not sure which to choose? Here are some things to consider about individual bonds versus bond funds.
August 13, 2026
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